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Chapter 8: Discrete Probability Distributions

333

Figure 8-14:

Display of the event of

X

> 8

Now

P

(

X

> 8)

P

(

X

9) =

P

(

X

= 9 or

X

= 10) and since

X

= 9,

X

= 10 are mutually exclusive events, then

P

(

X

= 9 or

X

= 10)

=

P

(

X

= 9) +

P

(

X

= 10). Thus,

P

(

X

> 8) =

P

(

X

9) = 0.0000 + 0.0000

= 0.0000 correct to four decimal places.

From

Figure 8-12

we can also observe that

P

(

X

> 8) = 0.

Example 8-14:

A student randomly guesses at 12 multiple-choice

questions. Find the probability that the student correctly guesses

between

5

and

7 questions inclusively. Each question has four possible answers with

only one correct answer, and each question is independent of every other

question.

Solution:

Observe that this can be considered as a binomial experiment

since we have a fixed number of trials (12 questions); a fixed probability of

success (probability of guessing correctly is 0.25); the trials (questions) are

independent of each other; and there are two possible outcomes on each

question (correct guess or incorrect guess).

If we let the number of correct guesses be represented by

X

, then

X

will be a

binomial random variable with

=12,

= 0.25 and varying

values. This

situation is displayed in

Figure 8-14.

Click here for the Binomial Probability Distribution Workbook